In 2016, for example, Hillary Clinton led in the polls and won nearly three million more votes than Donald Trump, but she still lost - that's because the US uses an electoral college system, so winning the most votes doesn't always win you the election. The Democrats had to defend an incumbent in Louisiana while the Republicans had to defend an incumbent in Kentucky plus an open seat in Mississippi. The top Democrat in Washington asks whether President Trump owes money to foreign interests. No Democrat has been elected to the governorship since Ronnie Musgrove in 1999. The moderator will use the balance of the time in the segment for a deeper discussion of the topic," a press release from CPD said. [2] In Louisiana, Democratic incumbent John Bel Edwards is popular in the deep red state, as he has worked across the aisle with a number of issues such as abortion. 25-3009, notice is hereby given that an audit of the 2020 Primary Election will begin on Monday, August 10, 2020 at 9:00 am at the Shawnee County Election Office, 3420 SW Van Buren Street, Topeka, Kansas 66611. While the focus will properly be on the candidates, the moderator will regulate the conversation so that thoughtful and substantive exchanges occur., Trump deliberately played down virus, new book says, Americast: The latest news and gossip from the campaign trail. Edwards also brought Medicaid Expansion to the state, a move that garnered praise and was popular. With that caveat aside, Joe Biden has been ahead of Donald Trump in most national polls since the start of the year. Under Louisiana's jungle primary system, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party, and voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. Voters in America will decide on 3 November whether Donald Trump remains in the White House for another four years. Find the latest news, photos and videos from the 2020 United States presidential election. By contrast, in 2016 the polls were far less clear and just a couple of percentage points separated Mr Trump and his then-rival Hillary Clinton at several points as election day neared. Support for his approach peaked in mid-March after he declared a national emergency and made $50 billion available to states to stop the spread of the virus. View the latest US election news, polls, results and voter information. The 2019 United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 5, 2019 in Kentucky and Mississippi, and November 16, 2019 in Louisiana. Betting markets, however, are certainly not writing Mr Trump off just yet. [1] Bevin also attempted to roll back the state's Medicare Expansion, which would've lead to 500,000 people in the state losing their health insurance, and the measure was deeply unpopular in Kentucky and never passed. Since almost the moment Donald Trump won the White House in 2016, people have circled November 3, 2020 -- aka Election Day -- on their calendars. Democrats also won the total popular vote for the year's gubernatorial elections for the third year in a row, and for the first time since 1991 in this cycle of governorships, albeit by an extremely narrow margin of 338 votes, or 0.04%. The last regular gubernatorial elections for all three states were in 2015. Moderator: Kristen Welker, the debate series' only woman journalist, is a White House Correspondent for NBC News, as well as co-anchor of "Weekend TODAY. In the past week alone, the U.S. surpassed 200,000 COVID-19 deaths, and Kentucky's attorney general announced that no officers would be indicted for their roles in the fatal police shooting of Breonna Taylor, again drawing protesters to the streets. [21] Incumbent Governor Phil Bryant was ineligible to run for a third term due to term limits. Vice President Pence said on Fox News' "Hannity" in August that he was excited about debating Harris. These elections formed part of the 2019 United States elections. Pollsters did have some problems in 2016 - notably a failure to properly represent voters without a college degree - meaning Mr Trump's advantage in some key battleground states wasn't spotted until late in the race, if at all. Matt Bevin refuses to concede Kentucky race, even after Secretary of State calls it for Democrat Andy Beshear", "Kentucky GOP Gov. It was the closest Louisiana gubernatorial election since 1979. Notice of 2020 Primary Election Audit. [9] The Democratic nominee, Kentucky Attorney General Andy Beshear, defeated Republican incumbent Matt Bevin by a margin of just over 5,000 votes, or 0.37%, making this the closest gubernatorial election in Kentucky since 1899. The US election process can be confusing. The coronavirus pandemic has dominated headlines in the US since the start of the year and the response to President Trump's actions has been split predictably along party lines. A total of 538 electoral college votes are up for grabs, so a candidate needs to hit 270 to win. The fires, which have burned over three million acres just in California, are breaking records because existing risk factors have been exacerbated by climate change. The Democratic Party nominated incumbent Attorney General Jim Hood, the only Democrat holding statewide office in Mississippi; the Republican Party nominated incumbent Lieutenant Governor Tate Reeves after a runoff. What happens if the president doesn't accept the election results? The two candidates have plenty to discuss. He has hovered around 50% in recent months and has had a 10-point lead on occasions. "Candidates will then have an opportunity to respond to each other. "The candidates will have two minutes to respond to each question and there will be an additional minute for the moderator to facilitate further discussion. Last updated: 28 September. The predictions assign ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat. She made headlines during the Democratic presidential debates for giving as good as she got, even blasting the man who is now at the top of the ticket, Joe Biden. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Bel Edwards won reelection to a second term, defeating Republican businessman Eddie Rispone. The 2019 United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 5, 2019 in Kentucky and Mississippi, and November 16, 2019 in Louisiana. Be in the know. Most states nearly always vote the same way, meaning that in reality there are just a handful of states where both candidates stand a chance of winning. Get the latest breaking news delivered straight to your inbox. [10] Bevin conceded on November 14,[11] after a recanvass took place that day[12][11][13] that did not change the vote count. Statewide turnout was just over 42%,[14] much higher than for the 2015 gubernatorial election. Election Day is November 3, 2020. The BBC is here to help make sense of it. As Mrs Clinton discovered in 2016, the number of votes you win is less important than where you win them. average voting intention based on … Election Day could turn into "Election Week" with rise in mail ballots, Senators clash over filling Ginsburg's seat, demise of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, unprecedented wildfires on America's West Coast, Biden and Trump in tight race in a changing North Carolina, How to watch the first presidential debate between Trump and Biden, 2020 presidential debates: Timing and topics for Trump and Biden, Mobile: CBSN streaming on the CBS News apps. In compliance with the provisions of K.S.A. Hood made bringing Medicaid Expansion to Mississippi the central issue of his campaign, which resonated with voters in the state as many people want improvements to health care.[4]. In some cases, your question will be published, displaying your name, age and location as you provide it, unless you state otherwise. The second presidential debate will take place a week later on Thursday October 15. Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. Location: Adrienne Arsht Center for the Performing Arts, Miami. McMaster weighed in on Trump's refusal to commit to a peaceful transition of power if he loses the November election. "The moderator will ask an opening question, after which each candidate will have two minutes to respond," according to CPD. The chief scientific adviser to the initiative has said it's "extremely unlikely but not impossible" that a vaccine could be ready to distribute before 3 November. Because no candidate received an absolute majority of the vote during the primary election on October 12, 2019, a runoff election was held on November 16, 2019, between the top two candidates in the primary, Edwards and Rispone. the value in the middle of the set of numbers. By July, the data suggests his own supporters had begun to question his response - but there was a slight uptick in August and September. But any support he had from Democrats disappeared after that, while Republicans continued to back their president. What questions do you have about the US election? Situated in the Deep South, Mississippi is one of the most Republican states in the country. President Trump and Joe Biden will be waging their war of words in person when they take the debate stage in Cleveland on Tuesday for the first of three debates before Election Day. Mississippi, whose governor was term-limited, is one of the most Republican states in the country and hasn't voted a Democrat as governor since 1999, and Republican Tate Reeves is a long serving public servant in the state. Blue denotes states won by Democrats. Read about our approach to external linking. "The moderators will have the ability both to extend the segments and to ensure that the candidates have equal speaking time. When teachers walked out to protest education funding, Bevin blamed them for child molestation and called them "selfish thugs". Joe Biden: Where does Joe Biden stand on key issues? ", Format: The format will be identical to the first presidential debate, "As always, the moderators alone will select the questions to be asked, which are not known to the CPD or to the candidates," according to CPD. Copyright © 2020 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. The virus is likely to be at the forefront of voters' minds and one leading model produced by experts at the University of Washington predicts the death toll will have risen to about 230,000 people by election day. [16] Louisiana is the only state that has a jungle primary system (California and Washington have a similar top two primary system). Location: Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland. Reeves defeated Hood in the general election by a margin of 5.1%, making this the closest a Democrat had come to winning a Mississippi gubernatorial election since 1999, where Musgrove won with 49.6% of the vote. Your contact details will never be published. Runoff elections were held on August 27, 2019. Most polling companies have corrected this now. "Matt Bevin's defeat in Kentucky wasn't just about him", "Democrats make Medicaid center of Kentucky governor fight", "In Blow To Trump's Medicaid Policies, Democrat Wins In Louisiana", "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections", "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 Governor", "Kentucky gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2019", "Watch live: Democrat Andy Beshear speaks after declaring victory in Kentucky election", "Gov. Please ensure you have read our terms & conditions and privacy policy. Some predictions also include a "tilt" rating that indicates that one party has an advantage that is not quite as strong as the "lean" rating would indicate. Read headlines covering the presidential debates, results, and more. It's easy to dismiss the polls by saying they got it wrong in 2016 and President Trump frequently does exactly that. / CBS News. Meanwhile, the demise of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has sparked a battle over who will take the women's rights pioneer's seat and when the vacancy should be filled. Kentucky and Louisiana were seen as the two competitive races in this cycle. As a result, the Democrats gained a net of one seat, bringing the total number of Democratic governors to 24, while Republicans were reduced to 26 governors, continuing a streak of governor's seat gains by Democrats under Republican President Donald Trump that began in 2017. However, a formidable campaign by Democrat Jim Hood made the race closer than initially expected. At the moment, polls in the battleground states look good for Joe Biden, but there's a long way to go and things can change very quickly, especially when Donald Trump's involved. Donald Trump policies: Where does the president stand on key issues? But it's not entirely true. As election day approaches, polling companies will be trying to gauge the mood of the nation by asking voters which candidate they prefer. Despite the fact that all three seats up were in typically Republican states, Kentucky and Louisiana were seen as competitive races and Mississippi was still seen as favorable for Republicans but a closer race than usual. The town meeting participants will be uncommitted voters selected under the supervision of Dr. Frank Newport, Senior Scientist, Gallup.". [11] Libertarian John Hicks also qualified for the ballot and received 2% of the vote. Wallace has chosen six topics, subject to change: The candidates, both of whom are known for straying off topic, have been instructed to stick to the subject of the question "in order to encourage deep discussion of the leading issues facing the country." But it's the battleground states where Mr Trump won big in 2016 that his campaign team will be most worried about. "The moderator will use the balance of the time in the segment for a deeper discussion of the topic.". But this year there's even more uncertainty than normal due to the coronavirus pandemic and the effect it's having on both the economy and how people will vote in November, so all polls should be read with some scepticism, especially this far out from election day. [22] Hood flipped the counties of Chickasaw, Lafayette, Madison, Panola, and Warren, which had all voted for Republican Donald Trump in the 2016 United States presidential election. [3] Even though Edwards is popular, the sheer amount of Republicans in the state made the race competitive. If you can't see the form, you may need to view the site on a desktop. Also at risk is the nation's health care law, the Affordable Care Act, which is the subject of a Supreme Court case that will be heard a week after Election Day. The Democrats had to defend an incumbent in Louisiana while the Republicans had to defend an incumbent in Kentucky plus an open seat in Mississippi. Mr Trump may be hoping Operation Warp Speed, his administration's vaccine initiative, can produce an "October surprise" - a last-minute event that turns the election upside down. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell stated that he'll hold a vote for President Trump's pick, despite refusing to do so after Justice Antonin Scalia died in February 2016, while Barack Obama was president. FiveThirtyEight, a political analysis website, says Mr Biden is "favoured" to win the election, while The Economist says he is "likely" to beat Mr Trump. Pelosi warns House could be forced to decide presidential election, Watch live: Trump gives update on coronavirus testing strategy, Trump-Biden race to dictate fate of U.S. immigration for generations, 5 takeaways from the NYT report on Trump's tax returns, Video in Breonna Taylor case may show police policy violation, Family of handcuffed man shot dead by cop awarded $20 million, Boy's death led to detection of brain-eating amoeba in water, Hip-hop producer has a dark premonition on day of his murder, Washington Monument to reopen to public October 1, Battleground Tracker: Latest polls, state of the race and more, 5 things to know about CBS News' 2020 Battleground Tracker, CBS News coverage of voting rights issues. Please put your questions below. Trend line showing average voting intention based on, average voting intention based on individual polls. Despite the fact that all three seats up were in typically Republican states, Ken… September 28, 2020 / 9:45 AM These are the first gubernatorial elections since 2005 in which all of the margins of victory were under ten points. The third and final debate will take place on October 22, less than two weeks before Election Day. On Saturday, Mr. Trump is expected to announce his nominee, whose confirmation will solidify the court's 6-3 conservative majority, and potentially threaten the future of Roe v. Wade, the Supreme Court case that established abortion rights nearly 50 years ago. Moderator: "Fox News Sunday" anchor Chris Wallace. What happens to your body in extreme heat? Format: The commission said that this debate will be "divided into six segments of approximately 15 minutes each." Primary elections occurred on August 6, 2019. Kentucky governor Matt Bevin had very low approval ratings over issues such as Medicare Expansion, Pensions, and Education. "I think she is a skilled debater, but I can't wait to get to Salt Lake City and be on the stage — whether to compare Joe Biden's nearly 50 years in public life, the agenda of the radical left, the agenda that she's embraced throughout her political career — with the results of this president and this administration," Pence told host Sean Hannity. However, the state's Democratic Attorney General, Jim Hood, who had held his office since 2004 and had yet to lose a statewide election, put the Republican's winning streak of four elections in a row to the test, as the race became unusually competitive. The sole vice presidential debate will take place on Wednesday, October 7, between Democratic Senator Kamala Harris and Vice President Mike Pence. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). In the electoral college system the US uses to elect its president, each state is given a number of votes based on how many members it sends to Congress - House and Senate. The latest odds give him just less than a 50% chance of winning on 3 November, which suggests some people expect the outlook to change a lot over the next few weeks. Most national polls did have Hillary Clinton ahead by a few percentage points, but that doesn't mean they were wrong, since she won three million more votes than her rival. The coronavirus is still a menace nearly seven months into the pandemic, while the deaths of Black people at the hands of police have stirred long-present social unrest. Bevin Officially Requests Recanvass Of Election Results", "Voter turnout tops 41 percent in tight race for Kentucky governor",, "Louisiana Secretary of State Statistics", "Louisiana Secretary of State - Live Election Results", "Republican Tate Reeves wins a surprisingly close race, becoming Mississippi's next governor",, 2019 United States gubernatorial elections, November 2019 events in the United States, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, This page was last edited on 24 September 2020, at 16:24. Parentheses around an incumbent's name indicates that the incumbent is retiring, possibly due to term limits. As the map above shows, some battleground states have a lot more electoral college votes on offer than others so candidates often spend a lot more time campaigning in them. This is the first time since 2003 in which a party made a net gain of seats in this cycle of governorships, and the first time since 1991 that Kentucky and Louisiana elected candidates of the same party. Location: The University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Format: Also 90 minutes in length, Harris and Pence will tackle nine segments of approximately 10 minutes each. The BBC poll of polls looks at the individual national polls from the last 14 days and creates trend lines using the median value, i.e. ET and run for 90 minutes without commercial interruption, according to the Commission on Presidential Debates. "The second presidential debate will take the form of a town meeting, in which the questions will be posed by citizens from the South Florida area," according to CPD. The 2019 Kentucky gubernatorial election took place on November 5, 2019, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky. The Republican president is being challenged by Democratic Party nominee Joe Biden, who is best known as Barack Obama's vice-president but has been in US politics since the 1970s. The result was a major swing from 2016, when Donald Trump won the state by 30 points and Republicans gained a supermajority in both chambers of the Kentucky General Assembly. We'll be keeping track of those polls here and trying to work out what they can and can't tell us about who will win the election. But political analysts are less convinced about his chances of re-election. Add to all of this the layer of smoke created by unprecedented wildfires on America's West Coast. National polls are a good guide as to how popular a candidate is across the country as a whole, but they're not necessarily a good way to predict the result of the election. Three presidential debates and one vice presidential debate are scheduled to take place in the next few weeks before the November 3 election. Matt Bevin won't contest results, concedes from gubernatorial race", "Gov. ... J F M A M J J A S 30 40 50 60 03 Nov Election day 40 days until 23 Sep TREND 43% 51%.

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